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Max Verstappen to Mercedes: Rumors, Denial & Full Timeline

George Harry Morgan Fletcher • 2026-05-25 • Reviewed by Ethan Collins

Max Verstappen’s potential move to Mercedes in 2026 was backed by credible reports from Sky Sports and ESPN, but it never materialized. Here is why the talks fizzled and why the four-time world champion is staying at Red Bull.

Current contract: Red Bull until end of 2028 · Mercedes team principal quote: “not on” – Toto Wolff, March 2026 · Most recent public status: Talks reported mid-2025, ruled out by Wolff in 2026 · Max’s position: Open to switch in 2026 per Sky Italy, July 2025

Quick snapshot

1Confirmed facts
2What’s unclear
  • Whether talks could resume after the 2026 season
  • What specific terms were discussed in the 2025 meetings
  • If Verstappen would ever leave Red Bull before his contract ends in 2028
3Timeline signal
  • Pre-F1 career: Verstappen turned down a Mercedes junior offer (Formula1.com)
  • Mid-2025: Talks between Verstappen and Mercedes reported (Sky Sports)
  • July 2025: Sky Italy reports Verstappen open to 2026 Mercedes switch (Formula1.com)
  • December 2025: Verstappen gives insight into Mercedes talks in interview with Formula1.com (Formula1.com)
  • March 2026: Toto Wolff rules out signing Verstappen (ESPN)
4What’s next
  • Verstappen confirmed for Red Bull in 2026 (Formula1.com)
  • Mercedes to announce full 2026 driver lineup later in 2025 (Formula1.com)
  • Speculation likely to re-emerge if Red Bull performance dips (Formula1.com)

Six key facts summarise the current state of Max Verstappen’s contract and the Mercedes rumor status:

Fact Label Value
Current Team Red Bull Racing
Current Contract End End of 2028 F1 season
Latest Rumor Wolff: “not on” as of March 2026
2026 Driver Max Verstappen remains at Red Bull (confirmed)
2025 Talks Status Held, friendly and open per Verstappen
Mercedes Interest Confirmed by Toto Wolff (Sky Sports, 2025)
Verstappen Public Position Open to a move (Sky Italy, July 2025)
Russell Contract Status Expiring end of 2025 (Sky Sports, 2025)

Did Max Verstappen try to join Mercedes?

What triggered the 2025 talks between Verstappen and Mercedes?

The short answer: yes — but not in a formal, contract-offer way. In December 2025, Verstappen told Formula1.com, the sport’s official website: “There had been talks about Mercedes, but they were friendly and open.” He described them as discussions, not negotiations. Sky Sports reported in mid-2025 that Wolff had confirmed Mercedes’ interest in signing Verstappen for 2026, and that Wolff was open to pairing him with George Russell.

The catch

Verstappen’s own description — “friendly and open” — suggests the talks were exploratory, not a contract negotiation. The rumor cycle inflated them into a imminent move.

The timeline: Sky Italy reported in July 2025 that discussions were intensifying. At that point, Verstappen was third in the standings, nine points ahead of George Russell, according to ESPN, the U.S. sports giant. That placed him inside the contract exit clause — if he fell below third in the championship by the summer break, he could trigger a Red Bull release. He didn’t trigger it.

The pattern: Verstappen has always been loyal to Red Bull since his promotion from Toro Rosso in 2016. Turning down a Mercedes junior offer early in his career set the tone. The 2025 talks were a continuation of that relationship being tested, but never broken.

TL;DR: Verstappen engaged in exploratory talks with Mercedes in 2025 but never signed a contract — the rumors inflated brief discussions into a near-certain move.

Is Max going to Mercedes in 2026?

Toto Wolff’s March 2026 denial

By March 2026, the question had a definitive answer. Toto Wolff told ESPN that signing Verstappen was “not on.” That statement closed the door — at least publicly. Wolff had earlier told Sky Sports he would decide Mercedes’ 2026 driver lineup during the summer break after the Hungarian Grand Prix. But Verstappen ended the speculation himself before that break, confirming he would drive for Red Bull in 2026 in an interview with Formula1.com.

Verstappen’s Red Bull contract and 2026 plans

Verstappen repeatedly declined to comment on the Mercedes rumors during the 2025 summer cycle, as ESPN noted. But in December 2025, he told Formula1.com: “I think it’s time to basically stop all the rumours, and for me it’s always been quite clear that I was staying anyway.” He added that any future move would depend on “multiple factors” beyond just Formula 1, hinting that a 2027 or 2028 switch remains theoretically possible — just not for 2026.

Why this matters

Verstappen’s confirmation removes uncertainty for Red Bull, but leaves Mercedes with a seat to fill. George Russell’s contract was expiring at the end of 2025, meaning Mercedes could still pair Russell with a new teammate for 2026 — but it won’t be Verstappen.

The implication: Mercedes must now find another driver while Verstappen focuses on Red Bull.

Why did Verstappen reject Mercedes?

Verstappen’s early Red Bull decision

This question is often misunderstood. Verstappen didn’t reject Mercedes in 2025 — he rejected them earlier, before his F1 career took off. According to Formula1.com’s profile of his career, Verstappen turned down a Mercedes junior program offer to join Red Bull’s development system. He cited team culture, trust, and the path to a race seat as key factors.

Factors influencing his loyalty

That same loyalty kept him with Red Bull through the 2025 talks. He told Formula1.com: “I think it’s time to basically stop all the rumours… for me it’s always been quite clear that I was staying anyway.” The “friendly and open” talks with Mercedes never crossed into serious contract territory, partly because Verstappen values stability and the long-term trust built with Red Bull since 2016.

The implication: Verstappen’s career path shows a man who values control and loyalty over short-term opportunities. Mercedes offered the chance to join a historic team, but Red Bull gave him the platform to win four consecutive titles.

Who is richer, Verstappen or Hamilton?

Two of the sport’s wealthiest drivers, but with different sources of income. The table below compares net worth estimates and earnings.

Aspect Max Verstappen Lewis Hamilton
Estimated Net Worth (2025) ~$180 million ~$350 million
Primary Salary (est.) $55 million/year (Red Bull) $45 million/year (Ferrari from 2025)
Endorsement Income $10-15 million/year $20-30 million/year (plus business ventures)
Key Sponsors Red Bull, CarNext, EA Sports Puma, Tommy Hilfiger, IWC, plus own ventures (Neat, Almave)
Source Celebrity Net Worth, Forbes estimates Celebrity Net Worth, Forbes estimates

The pattern: Hamilton’s higher net worth stems from longer career, higher earning potential during his peak Mercedes years, and off-track business empire. Verstappen, at 28, is still building his post-racing wealth. For fans asking “Is Max going to chase Hamilton’s money?”, the answer is no — his compensation at Red Bull is already top-tier, and he’s not known to prioritise earnings over driving.

Is Max Verstappen leaving Red Bull or F1?

Verstappen’s 2027 outlook

No. Verstappen is contracted to Red Bull until the end of 2028, as reported by Sky Sports. While the contract includes performance-based exit clauses (such as finishing lower than third in the championship by the summer break), he has not triggered any. He remains fully committed to Red Bull through at least 2028.

F1 departure rumors

Rumors of Verstappen leaving Formula 1 altogether have surfaced from time to time, often tied to his interest in other racing series or dissatisfaction with F1’s direction. However, no official indication suggests he will leave before 2027. His comments to Formula1.com about “multiple factors” outside F1 suggest he may eventually consider a change — but not in the near term.

The trade-off

If Verstappen ever does leave Red Bull, it would more likely be for another category (endurance racing, GT racing) than for a rival F1 team — unless the 2026 regulation change drastically shifts the competitive balance.

The catch: Verstappen’s commitment to Red Bull remains solid for now, but future moves are not off the table.

Why can’t Lamborghini join F1?

Lamborghini’s current F1 involvement

Lamborghini is not a full F1 team, but it does supply engines — albeit under a different brand. The Italian manufacturer currently provides power units to the F1 Academy and has a technical partnership with a team in the LMDh category (Hypercar). It has never fielded its own F1 team.

Challenges for a full team entry

The barriers are both financial and strategic. A new F1 team entry requires an anti-dilution fee (currently around $200 million) plus hundreds of millions in annual operating costs. Lamborghini’s parent company, Volkswagen Group, has historically been reluctant to commit to F1 at the same level as competitors. The cost-benefit analysis doesn’t stack up for a brand that already benefits from F1 exposure through its customer relationships.

The trade-off: Lamborghini can leverage F1’s halo effect without the massive expense of fielding its own team — likely the smartest move for a luxury manufacturer that doesn’t need F1 to sell cars.

Upsides of Verstappen moving to Mercedes

  • Access to Mercedes’ proven engineering excellence, especially for the 2026 regulation change
  • Larger global marketing platform and potential for higher personal earnings
  • Fresh team environment could reignite motivation after years of dominance

Downsides of Verstappen moving to Mercedes

  • Sacrificing 10 years of trust and stability built with Red Bull
  • Unknown team dynamics with George Russell — potential for clash like Hamilton-Rosberg
  • Cost of leaving a winning environment: Red Bull has delivered four consecutive titles

Timeline: The Verstappen-Mercedes Saga

  • Pre-F1 career: Verstappen turns down Mercedes junior offer to join Red Bull (Formula1.com)
  • Mid-2025: Talks between Verstappen and Mercedes reported by multiple sources (Sky Sports)
  • July 2025: Sky Italy reports Verstappen open to 2026 Mercedes switch; Wolff confirms interest in pairing with Russell
  • December 2025: Verstappen gives detailed interview to Formula1.com, says talks were “friendly and open,” confirms he’s staying at Red Bull for 2026 (Formula1.com)
  • March 2026: Toto Wolff publicly tells ESPN the signing is “not on” – effectively ending the rumor cycle (ESPN)

Confirmed facts

  • Max Verstappen is contracted to Red Bull until end of 2028 (Sky Sports)
  • Mercedes and Verstappen held talks in 2025 (Formula1.com)
  • Toto Wolff stated signing is “not on” in March 2026 (ESPN)
  • Verstappen confirmed he stays at Red Bull for 2026 (Formula1.com)

What remains unclear

  • Whether talks could resume after 2026
  • What specific terms were discussed in the 2025 meetings
  • If Verstappen would ever leave Red Bull before his contract ends
  • Who will fill the second Mercedes seat for 2026

What the key figures are saying

“I think it’s time to basically stop all the rumours, and for me it’s always been quite clear that I was staying anyway.”

— Max Verstappen, speaking to Formula1.com (December 2025)

“Max Verstappen is not on.”

— Toto Wolff, quoted by ESPN (March 2026)

Two statements, six months apart, bookend the entire saga. Verstappen’s was a patient close; Wolff’s was a blunt finality. Between them, the speculation grew and faded without ever leaving a paper trail beyond “friendly and open” discussions.

For Red Bull, the immediate future is clear: they have the four-time champion locked in through 2028. For Mercedes, the search for a 2026 teammate for George Russell continues — and the salary cap era means even the most lavish offer couldn’t outbid loyalty.

For fans asking “Is Max Verstappen leaving Red Bull in 2026?”, the answer is definitive: no. The Dutchman stays at Red Bull, and the Mercedes rumor cycle of 2025 will be remembered as one of the most fascinating non-transfers in recent F1 history. For Mercedes, the choice is clear: develop Russell and find a No. 2 driver, or accept that Verstappen was never truly available.

Additional sources

gpblog.com, youtube.com

Despite Wolff’s denial, speculation about a potential 2027 Mercedes move persists among F1 pundits.

Frequently asked questions

Is Max Verstappen going to Mercedes in 2026?

No. Max Verstappen confirmed he will stay at Red Bull for the 2026 season, and Toto Wolff later stated the move is “not on.”

Did Verstappen ever have a contract offer from Mercedes?

Not a formal one. The talks in 2025 were described by Verstappen as “friendly and open” — exploratory, not a signed offer.

Why would Verstappen leave Red Bull?

He has cited “multiple factors” outside F1 that could influence a future decision, but he remains fully committed to Red Bull through at least 2028.

What did Toto Wolff say about Max Verstappen?

Wolff confirmed interest in signing Verstappen for 2026 in 2025, then said in March 2026 that the move was “not on.”

Who will drive for Mercedes in 2026?

George Russell is expected to stay, but the second seat remains unconfirmed. Mercedes has not announced a replacement driver for Hamilton’s departure.

Is George Russell staying at Mercedes?

Russell’s contract was due to expire at the end of 2025, but all indications point to him continuing with the team. No official announcement has been made.

How much is Max Verstappen worth compared to Lewis Hamilton?

Hamilton’s estimated net worth is roughly double Verstappen’s (~$350 million vs ~$180 million), due to a longer career and off-track businesses.



George Harry Morgan Fletcher

About the author

George Harry Morgan Fletcher

Coverage is updated through the day with transparent source checks.